Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1460.799876 1698.571512 1976.279096 2328.013609 2766.564039 3301.995962 4.015651e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1133.692020 1426.365444 1807.024258 2351.373780 3132.440421 4250.806486 6.050005e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 961.251425 1264.733936 1684.872275 2331.609678 3346.667665 4965.763410 7.953777e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 858.653914 1172.637685 1630.887034 2383.162273 3663.861558 5927.065086 1.072458e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 749.708758 1050.897243 1507.228575 2292.196746 3712.479697 6430.983986 1.289111e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 667.384318 956.280688 1408.147328 2217.612706 3763.782598 6948.741655 1.540085e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 598.839232 873.854162 1315.623482 2134.800110 3775.052664 7383.680247 1.800683e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 574.701221 858.457127 1330.239759 2245.736596 4199.097139 8909.483176 2.506733e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 546.014060 831.812664 1321.106593 2308.696642 4538.282466 10389.782086 3.372890e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 517.821491 802.656087 1303.142918 2349.872487 4839.572936 11925.507280 4.490329e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 485.551703 763.088350 1261.016297 2332.915764 4995.287653 13117.540858 5.663761e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 468.333924 748.261836 1263.227154 2411.588394 5421.982711 15465.911745 8.088528e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 452.973927 736.709978 1273.107223 2516.817116 5982.705374 18835.842593 1.267472e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 431.910122 712.837452 1256.099053 2557.895447 6382.758140 21988.360194 1.911582e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 407.060941 679.369120 1215.178469 2532.324826 6567.729850 24375.029983 2.679501e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 391.849885 662.954192 1207.877130 2590.631096 7058.082386 28918.256161 4.513537e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 365.209543 622.056382 1143.810014 2489.029037 6954.624318 30030.770903 5.770301e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 342.460790 587.219962 1089.682840 2406.026719 6897.608839 31461.230333 7.655661e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 321.012269 553.532893 1035.115054 2313.920466 6781.246991 32453.428334 9.902884e+05
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 316.581730 553.711483 1056.059802 2437.322764 7570.002527 41339.928972 2.647917e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 308.627198 546.015798 1058.203898 2507.447966 8180.212169 50272.740043 7.824130e+06
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 299.622555 535.431477 1052.484963 2553.345646 8713.077010 59992.730064 3.184093e+07
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 287.462175 517.347697 1027.203128 2534.441076 8937.159082 67103.983117 1.535479e+08